ALPHASET INSIGHTS
Quantitative strategies, institutional market analysis, and the future of non-custodial asset management.
Latest insights
Win rate vs risk/reward: Which one matters more?
When evaluating a trading strategy, the first question almost everyone asks is: "What is the win rate (Win rate) of this method?" If someone confidently claims they have a win rate of up to 70% on their trades, the natural reaction of most people is admiration and absolute trust. Conversely, if someone honestly shares that they only win 40% of their trades, listeners immediately become skeptical and dismissive.
Stablecoin Dominance: Index Measuring Capital Inflows and Outflows from the Market
The crypto market can appear calm, with stable Bitcoin prices and positive charts, but bears overwhelm small rallies, altcoins remain stagnant, and trading volume stays low. Is the market quietly accumulating for a breakout, or are whales secretly exiting? To solve this puzzle, professional investors often look at an index that is rarely discussed by the masses but possesses tremendous power — Stablecoin Dominance.
Bitcoin Halving: What's the Real Market Impact?
In the crypto world, Bitcoin Halving is almost a holiday that all investors eagerly anticipate. Every time this event approaches, analyses flood across forums with a consistent message: new supply is cut in half, if demand remains constant then price must rise; the three previous Halvings all triggered bull markets; the 4-year cycle is an immutable law and this time will surely be the same. But is that really how it works?
Narrative trading: Coin AI, RWA, DePIN - opportunities and risks
In every bull market cycle, there is always a group of coins that grow exceptionally, far outpacing the rest by being tied to a story that captures market attention and attracts capital flows - professionals call this Narrative.
BTC and S&P 500: When Crypto No Longer Follows Its Own Logic
Many people turn to crypto with a strong expectation of "diversification": they believe that if traditional stock markets crash, crypto might rise, or at least stay flat to protect their total assets. This argument was once very valid and remains the core reason investors hold both stocks and crypto in their portfolios.
Why does news-based trading often end in painful losses?
One of the most natural reactions for new investors is to buy when there's good news and sell when there's bad news. On the surface, this logic seems perfectly sound—good news attracts buyers and drives prices up, while bad news triggers fear and drives prices down.
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